How We Know What Isn't So

Author: Thomas Gilovich

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

ISBN: 9781439106747

Category: Psychology

Page: 224

View: 695

Thomas Gilovich offers a wise and readable guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. When can we trust what we believe—that "teams and players have winning streaks," that "flattery works," or that "the more people who agree, the more likely they are to be right"—and when are such beliefs suspect? Thomas Gilovich offers a guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. Illustrating his points with examples, and supporting them with the latest research findings, he documents the cognitive, social, and motivational processes that distort our thoughts, beliefs, judgments and decisions. In a rapidly changing world, the biases and stereotypes that help us process an overload of complex information inevitably distort what we would like to believe is reality. Awareness of our propensity to make these systematic errors, Gilovich argues, is the first step to more effective analysis and action.

Die Psychologie des Aberglaubens

Schwarze Kater und Maskottchen

Author: Stuart A. Vyse

Publisher: Springer-Verlag

ISBN: 3034863586

Category: Psychology

Page: 278

View: 8711

Tradingpsychologie - So denken und handeln die Profis

Spitzenperformance mit Mentaltraining

Author: Welz Norman

Publisher: FinanzBuch Verlag

ISBN: 3862482502

Category: Political Science

Page: 265

View: 816

Der größte Feind des Traders ist die Angst. Wer Angst hat, verliert. Und beim Traden heißt das bares Geld. Finanzpsychologe, Mentaltrainer und Trader Norman Welz erklärt, was Angst im Tradingalltag anrichtet. Vor allem aber demonstriert er, wie sie sich beherrschen lässt. Er begleitet den Leser in seiner Entwicklung als Trader und zeigt viele praktische Wege auf, wie man Angst und Stress in den Griff bekommt, ausgeglichen wird und lernt, sich zu konzentrieren. So ist Börsenerfolg in Zukunft kein Zufallsprodukt einer positiven oder negativen Grundstimmung oder der persönlichen Disposition, sondern eine Folge kontrollierten Tradens. Das Standardwerk enthält einen umfangreichen Überblick über die Psychologie des Tradens. Die klassische Evolutionsbiologie findet ebenso Anwendung wie Behavioral Finance, Persönlichkeitsforschung und die neuesten Erkenntnisse der Neurowissenschaften und der Angstforschung. Lernen Sie, wie Sie Angst als Stör- und Verlustfaktor beim Traden erkennen und beherrschen.

Graphen und Netzwerktheorie

Grundlagen - Methoden - Anwendungen

Author: Markus Wessler,Helge Röpcke

Publisher: Carl Hanser Verlag GmbH Co KG

ISBN: 3446441840

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 251

View: 3150

Das Buch erscheint in der Reihe "Quantitative Methoden" und gibt einen Überblick über ein wichtiges Teilgebiet der diskreten Mathematik, nämlich die Graphen- und Netzwerktheorie, die in den Wirtschaftswissenschaften eine wesentliche Rolle spielt. Die beschriebenen Verfahren kommen in der Praxis auf vielfältige Weise vor, beispielsweise in jeder Art von Netzwerken, wenn es darum geht, kürzeste Wege zu berechnen, also Kosten zu sparen. Das Buch gibt hier einen Überblick über die gängigen Verfahren und bietet zahlreiche Beispiele aus der betriebswirtschaftlichen Praxis. Es wird auch gezeigt, welche der Verfahren mit entsprechender Simulationssoftware gelöst werden können. So sind die Studierenden später in der Lage, eine Praxissituation einschätzen zu können und ein geeignetes Instrument zur Lösung zu finden.

The Demon-Haunted World

Science as a Candle in the Dark

Author: Carl Sagan

Publisher: Ballantine Books

ISBN: 0307801047

Category: Science

Page: 480

View: 1927

A prescient warning of a future we now inhabit, where fake news stories and Internet conspiracy theories play to a disaffected American populace “A glorious book . . . A spirited defense of science . . . From the first page to the last, this book is a manifesto for clear thought.”—Los Angeles Times How can we make intelligent decisions about our increasingly technology-driven lives if we don’t understand the difference between the myths of pseudoscience and the testable hypotheses of science? Pulitzer Prize-winning author and distinguished astronomer Carl Sagan argues that scientific thinking is critical not only to the pursuit of truth but to the very well-being of our democratic institutions. Casting a wide net through history and culture, Sagan examines and authoritatively debunks such celebrated fallacies of the past as witchcraft, faith healing, demons, and UFOs. And yet, disturbingly, in today's so-called information age, pseudoscience is burgeoning with stories of alien abduction, channeling past lives, and communal hallucinations commanding growing attention and respect. As Sagan demonstrates with lucid eloquence, the siren song of unreason is not just a cultural wrong turn but a dangerous plunge into darkness that threatens our most basic freedoms. Praise for The Demon-Haunted World “Powerful . . . A stirring defense of informed rationality. . . Rich in surprising information and beautiful writing.”—The Washington Post Book World “Compelling.”—USA Today “A clear vision of what good science means and why it makes a difference. . . . A testimonial to the power of science and a warning of the dangers of unrestrained credulity.”—The Sciences “Passionate.”—San Francisco Examiner-Chronicle

Happy Money

So verwandeln Sie Geld in Glück

Author: Elizabeth Dunn,Michael Norton

Publisher: books4success

ISBN: 3864702283

Category: Self-Help

Page: 224

View: 1238

Der Volksmund sagt: "Geld macht nicht glücklich." Wir alle ahnen aber: Es gibt einen Zusammenhang zwischen Glück und Geld. Doch wie sieht er aus? Die Frage lautet also: Was muss ich mit meinem Geld anstellen, um glücklich zu werden? Dieser Frage haben sich die beiden US-Wissenschaftler Elizabeth Dunn und Michael Norton angenommen und fünf einleuchtende Antworten gefunden: 1. Kaufe Erlebnisse 2. Gönne Dir etwas Besonderes 3. Kaufe Dir Zeit 4. Zahle heute, konsumiere später 5. Investiere in andere. Anhand von zahlreichen Beispielen und Anekdoten vermitteln sie frisch, lebendig und ganz unakademisch, wie Geld in Glück verwandelt werden kann. Und auch Unternehmen profitieren von Dunns und Nortons Erkenntnissen. Zum einen erfahren sie, wie sie für zufriedenere Mitarbeiter sorgen. Zum anderen können die Firmen gezielt Strategien entwickeln, mit denen sie aus ihren Kunden glückliche und treue Kunden machen können.

The Psychology of Successful Trading

Behavioural Strategies for Profitability

Author: Tim Short

Publisher: Routledge

ISBN: 1351601016

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 188

View: 3223

This book is the first to demonstrate the practical implications of an important, yet under-considered area of psychology in helping traders and investors understand the biases and attribution errors that drive unpredictable behaviour on the trading floor. Readers will improve their chances of trading successfully by learning where cognitive biases lead to errors in stock analysis and how these biases can be used to predict behavior in market participants. Focusing on the three major types of bias—Belief-Formation, Quasi-Economic, and Social—the book provides a rigorous discussion of the literature before explaining how each of these biases plays out in financial markets. The author brings together the fields of philosophical psychology and behavioral finance to introduce "theory of mind," providing readers with tools to predict biases in others as well as using these predictions to form optimal trading strategies for themselves. Readers will also learn to understand their own behaviors, counteracting biases such as overconfidence and conformity—and the "curse" of their own knowledge—to strengthen trade performance. Pairing his skill and experience with an extensive research bibliography, Short positions the foundational sources of cognitive biases alongside concrete examples, experimental designs, and trader’s anecdotes, helping readers to apply theoretical guidelines to real-life scenarios. Shrewd professionals and MBA students will benefit from The Psychology of Successful Trading’s intuitive structure and practical focus.

Der Hund, der Eier legt

Erkennen von Fehlinformation durch Querdenken

Author: Hans-Hermann Dubben,Hans-Peter Beck-Bornholdt

Publisher: Rowohlt Verlag GmbH

ISBN: 3644440115

Category: Mathematics

Page: 320

View: 9238

Mit bissigem Humor berichten zwei Insider über Naivität und Dummheit in der modernen Wissenschaft und über deren Konsequenzen für unseren Alltag. Sie stellen ausführlich dar, wie mit der Wahrheit gelogen wird, wie Irrtümer entstehen und wie sie sich bisweilen trotz klarer Widerlegungen zu anerkannten Schulweisheiten auswachsen. «Die Forschung ist gegenwärtig eher darauf angelegt, Quantität zu produzieren», schreiben die Autoren. «Qualität in Form von soliden Ergebnissen ist nicht gefragt. Eine unüberschaubare Flut von Desinformation begräbt die tatsächlich neuen Erkenntnisse unter sich und behindert den wissenschaftlichen Fortschritt. Wir wollen dazu beitragen, dass dies nicht so bleibt.»

Nudge

Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness

Author: Richard H. Thaler,Cass R. Sunstein

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 1101655097

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 320

View: 4899

From the winner of the 2017 Nobel Prize in Economics, Richard H. Thaler, and Cass R. Sunstein: a revelatory look at how we make decisions—for fans of Malcolm Gladwell’s Blink and Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking Fast and Slow New York Times bestseller Named a Best Book of the Year by The Economist and the Financial Times Every day we make choices—about what to buy or eat, about financial investments or our children’s health and education, even about the causes we champion or the planet itself. Unfortunately, we often choose poorly. Nudge is about how we make these choices and how we can make better ones. Using dozens of eye-opening examples and drawing on decades of behavioral science research, Nobel Prize winner Richard H. Thaler and Harvard Law School professor Cass R. Sunstein show that no choice is ever presented to us in a neutral way, and that we are all susceptible to biases that can lead us to make bad decisions. But by knowing how people think, we can use sensible “choice architecture” to nudge people toward the best decisions for ourselves, our families, and our society, without restricting our freedom of choice. More than 750,000 copies sold

Research Design for Social Work and the Human Services

Author: Jeane W. Anastas

Publisher: Columbia University Press

ISBN: 0231529287

Category: Social Science

Page: 608

View: 9890

Research Design for Social Work and the Human Services integrates a range of research techniques into a single epistemological framework and presents a balanced approach to the teaching of research methods in the "helping professions." Jeane W. Anastas begins with a discussion of the different philosophical perspectives within which social research occurs and continues with problem formulation, research design, and methodological issues influencing data collection, analysis, and dissemination. She presents both fixed (quantitative) and flexible (qualitative) methods of research, granting legitimacy, value, utility, and relevance to both styles of inquiry. Utilizing complete case studies to illustrate different methodological approaches, Research Design for Social Work and the Human Services integrates material on women and people of color, and draws attention to the ways racism, heterosexism, sexism, and classism affect the conceptualization and conduct of research. Anastas not only exposes these biases but actively addresses the experiences, needs, and concerns of clients of both genders and different races, ethnicities, sexual orientations, cultures, and classes.

Handbook of the Psychology of Science

Author: Gregory J. Feist, PhD,Michael E. Gorman, PhD

Publisher: Springer Publishing Company

ISBN: 0826106242

Category: Psychology

Page: 544

View: 776

"Highly recommended."--Choice: Current Reviews for Academic Libraries This handbook is the definitive resource for scholars and students interested in how research and theory within each of the major domains of psychologyódevelopmental, cognitive, personality, and socialóhave been applied to understand the nature of scientific thought and behavior. Edited by two esteemed pioneers in the emerging discipline of the psychology of science, it is the first empirically based compendium of its time. The handbook provides a comprehensive examination of how scientific thinking is learned and evolves from infancy to adolescence and adulthood, and combines developmental and cognitive approaches to show the categorical similarities and differences in thinking between children, adolescents, adults, and scientists. Chapters highlight the breadth and depth of psychological perspectives in the studies of science, from creativity and genius, gender, and conflict and cooperation, to postmodernism and psychobiography. A section on applications offers findings and ideas that can be put to use by educators, policymakers, and science administrators. Contributors examine the importance of mental models in solving difficult technical problems, and the significance of leadership and organizational structure in successful innovation. The final section of the book is devoted to the future of this new field, focusing on how to continue to develop a healthy psychology of science. Key Features: Presents the only empirically based compendium of current knowledge about the psychology of scientific thought and behavior Edited by two pioneers in the discipline of psychology of science Describes how scientific thinking is learned and changes throughout the life span Addresses creativity and genius, gender, conflict and cooperation, postmodernism, and psychobiography Covers applications of the psychology of science that can be used by educators, policymakers, and science administrators

Handbook of Information Security, Threats, Vulnerabilities, Prevention, Detection, and Management

Author: Hossein Bidgoli

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0470051213

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 1152

View: 5030

The Handbook of Information Security is a definitive 3-volume handbook that offers coverage of both established and cutting-edge theories and developments on information and computer security. The text contains 180 articles from over 200 leading experts, providing the benchmark resource for information security, network security, information privacy, and information warfare.

Turn Signals are the Facial Expressions of Automobiles

Author: Don Norman

Publisher: Diversion Books

ISBN: 1626815364

Category: Design

Page: 185

View: 8663

By the author of THE DESIGN OF EVERYDAY THINGS. For decades, Don Norman has spoken the language of gadgets, explaining how the things we see every day are made and made better. In this smart, sharp, fun exploration of design, Norman pulls back the curtain on the things we make to make our lives easier. From water faucets and airplane cockpits to the concept of "real time" and the future of memory, this wide-ranging tour through technology provides a new understanding of how the gadgets that surround us affect our lives. Donald A. Norman explores the plight of humans living in a world ruled by a technology that seems to exist for its own sake, oblivious to the needs of the people who create it. TURN SIGNALS is an intelligent, whimsical, curmudgeonly look at our love/hate relationship with machines, as well as a persuasive call for the humanization of modern design.

The Oxford Handbook of Atheism

Author: Stephen Bullivant,Michael Ruse

Publisher: OUP Oxford

ISBN: 0191667404

Category: Religion

Page: 784

View: 3510

Recent books by, among others, Sam Harris, Richard Dawkins, and Christopher Hitchens have thrust atheism firmly into the popular, media, and academic spotlight. This so-called New Atheism is arguably the most striking development in western socio-religious culture of the past decade or more. As such, it has spurred fertile (and often heated) discussions both within, and between, a diverse range of disciplines. Yet atheism, and the New Atheism, are by no means co-extensive. Interesting though it indeed is, the New Atheism is a single, historically and culturally specific manifestation of positive atheism (the that there is/are no God/s), which is itself but one form of a far deeper, broader, and more significant global phenomenon. The Oxford Handbook of Atheism is a pioneering edited volume, exploring atheism—understood in the broad sense of 'an absence of belief in the existence of a God or gods'—in all the richness and diversity of its historical and contemporary expressions. Bringing together an international team of established and emerging scholars, it probes the varied manifestations and implications of unbelief from an array of disciplinary perspectives (philosophy, history, sociology, anthropology, demography, psychology, natural sciences, gender and sexuality studies, literary criticism, film studies, musicology) and in a range of global contexts (Western Europe, North America, post-communist Europe, the Islamic world, Japan, India). Both surveying and synthesizing previous work, and presenting the major fruits of innovative recent research, the handbook is set to be a landmark text for the study of atheism.

Talking to Our Selves

Reflection, Ignorance, and Agency

Author: John M. Doris

Publisher: OUP Oxford

ISBN: 0191047325

Category: Philosophy

Page: 240

View: 5077

John M. Doris presents a new account of agency and responsibility, which reconciles our understanding of ourselves as moral agents with psychological research on the unconscious mind. Much philosophical theorizing maintains that the exercise of morally responsible agency consists in judgment and behavior ordered by accurate reflection. On such theories, when human beings are able to direct their lives in the manner philosophers have dignified with the honorific 'agency', it's because they know what they're doing, and why they're doing it. This understanding is compromised by quantities of psychological research on unconscious processing, which suggests that accurate reflection is distressingly uncommon; very often behavior is ordered by surprisingly inaccurate self-awareness. Thus, if agency requires accurate reflection, people seldom exercise agency, and skepticism about agency threatens. To counter the skeptical threat, John M. Doris proposes an alternative theory that requires neither reflection nor accurate self-awareness: he identifies a dialogic form of agency where self-direction is facilitated by exchange of the rationalizations with which people explain and justify themselves to one another. The result is a stoutly interdisciplinary theory sensitive to both what human beings are like—creatures with opaque and unruly psychologies-and what they need: an account of agency sufficient to support a practice of moral responsibility.

Economic Growth and Sustainability

Systems Thinking for a Complex World

Author: Karen L. Higgins

Publisher: Academic Press

ISBN: 0128031085

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 228

View: 2831

How to sustain our world for future generations has perplexed us for centuries. We have reached a crossroads: we may choose the rocky path of responsibility or continue on the paved road of excess that promises hardship for our progeny. Independent efforts to resolve isolated issues are inadequate. Different from these efforts and from other books on the topic, this book uses systems thinking to understand the dominant forces that are shaping our hope for sustainability. It first describes a mental model - the bubble that holds our beliefs - that emerges from preponderant world views and explains current global trends. The model emphasizes economic growth and drives behavior toward short-term and self-motivated outcomes that thwart sustainability. The book then weaves statistical trends into a system diagram and shows how the economic, environmental, and societal contributors of sustainability interact. From this holistic perspective, it finds leverage points where actions can be most effective and combines eight areas of intervention into an integrated plan. By emphasizing both individual and collective actions, it addresses the conundrum of how to blend human nature with sustainability. Finally, it identifies primary three lessons we can learn by applying systems thinking to sustainability. Its metaphor-rich and accessible style makes the complex topic approachable and allows the reader to appreciate the intricate balance required to sustain life on Earth. Highlights the application of system thinking in economics Identifies systemic leveraging actions for achieving sustainability Outlines a comprehensive and integrated plan for achieving sustainable stewardship in the future

Research Methods in Social Relations

Author: Geoffrey Maruyama,Carey S. Ryan

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118764986

Category: Psychology

Page: 576

View: 605

Research Methods in Social Relations, 8th Edition,features a series of updates and revisions in its comprehensiveintroduction to current research methods in the social andbehavioural sciences. Offers comprehensive coverage of a wide variety of traditionaland topical research methods Addresses many newer research approaches such as propensityscore matching, mixed methods designs, and confirmatory factoranalysis Written to be accessible to a range of social and behaviouralscience disciplines, including public health, political science,sociology, and psychology Includes new chapters that engage readers in critical thinkingabout the processes involved in building sustainable partnershipsin field and community settings The Companion website includes an array of resources forInstructors, including Test Banks, Power Point lecture slides,discussion questions and exercises This new edition is the much-anticipated follow-up to2001’s seventh edition by Hoyle, Harris and Judd

Ayn Rand Cult

Author: Jeff Walker

Publisher: Open Court

ISBN: 0812698193

Category: Biography & Autobiography

Page: 350

View: 5318

Despised by the intellectual establishment, Ayn Rand continues to attract many thousands of devoted followers. Her "Objectivist" movement preaches an uncompromising hard line on politics, art, sex, and psychological health. Though much has been written about Rand, The Ayn Rand Cult is the first book to explain the true origin of her ideas and to show how they were shaped into a new, atheistic religion. Jeff Walker shatters many myths about Rand, exposing Objectivism as a classic cult, unusual because of its overt emphasis on self-interest, rationality, and atheism, but typical of cults in its guru-worship, thought control, trial and excommunication of deviants, and hostility to existing society.

Why Religion is Natural and Science is Not

Author: Robert N. McCauley

Publisher: Oxford University Press

ISBN: 0199912300

Category: Religion

Page: 352

View: 2009

The battle between religion and science, competing methods of knowing ourselves and our world, has been raging for many centuries. Now scientists themselves are looking at cognitive foundations of religion--and arriving at some surprising conclusions. Over the course of the past two decades, scholars have employed insights gleaned from cognitive science, evolutionary biology, and related disciplines to illuminate the study of religion. In Why Religion is Natural and Science Is Not, Robert N. McCauley, one of the founding fathers of the cognitive science of religion, argues that our minds are better suited to religious belief than to scientific inquiry. Drawing on the latest research and illustrating his argument with commonsense examples, McCauley argues that religion has existed for many thousands of years in every society because the kinds of explanations it provides are precisely the kinds that come naturally to human minds. Science, on the other hand, is a much more recent and rare development because it reaches radical conclusions and requires a kind of abstract thinking that only arises consistently under very specific social conditions. Religion makes intuitive sense to us, while science requires a lot of work. McCauley then draws out the larger implications of these findings. The naturalness of religion, he suggests, means that science poses no real threat to it, while the unnaturalness of science puts it in a surprisingly precarious position. Rigorously argued and elegantly written, this provocative book will appeal to anyone interested in the ongoing debate between religion and science, and in the nature and workings of the human mind.